Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.107505 0.164750 0.232058 0.314476 0.410487 0.516970 0.642308
2025-12-21 0.045025 0.112298 0.208154 0.340606 0.508567 0.706652 0.951153
2025-12-28 0.021812 0.088996 0.201172 0.368888 0.592028 0.863622 1.206572
2026-01-04 0.007525 0.067122 0.187970 0.383301 0.654526 0.993460 1.429302
2026-01-11 0.002750 0.059297 0.193208 0.420992 0.745515 1.157235 1.692071
2026-01-18 0.000335 0.050159 0.192805 0.448430 0.821692 1.301918 1.931507
2026-01-25 NaN 0.036507 0.178643 0.451821 0.863125 1.401260 2.114429
2026-02-01 NaN 0.019010 0.146428 0.420876 0.853002 1.431736 2.209982
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006557 0.112962 0.380769 0.825172 1.435872 2.269982
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002106 0.096760 0.368053 0.835473 1.489084 2.390969
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000700 0.091273 0.374946 0.875046 1.581559 2.562208
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000010 0.081731 0.371583 0.897700 1.650404 2.702669
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.066849 0.354849 0.900169 1.694126 2.814919
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.071740 0.384972 0.979768 1.846761 3.071430
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.076414 0.414545 1.058457 1.998124 3.326286
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.075458 0.430037 1.113947 2.117071 3.538867
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.084186 0.470040 1.210355 2.293939 3.828025
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.088570 0.499139 1.288768 2.445634 4.084322
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.083070 0.502728 1.324574 2.537224 4.261560
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.064998 0.469926 1.297671 2.539036 4.319593
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.046062 0.427312 1.250725 2.510178 4.335361
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037868 0.413776 1.252989 2.551193 4.443435
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.035956 0.421115 1.292552 2.646605 4.624697